Sunday, August 21, 2016

SOUTH SUDAN--Run Through The Jungle--SECSTATE KERRY CHOPPED TO AFRICA FOR INTELOPS--

TO HAYES
FROM ATILA
SUBJ  COUNTERINSURGENCY FRIEF--

(MOBUTU CAFE)--  Late intel reps leaked to Recon News of the itinerary of SecState Kerry > Africa .


http://www.nation.co.ke/news/Kerry-arrives-in-Kenya-on-Monday-on-peace-mission/1056-3353214-b4jkfx/
The need to improve business relations, boost counter-terrorism measures and stabilise the region from civil war are the key reasons United States Secretary of State John Kerry is returning to Nairobi on Monday.
State House spokesman Manoah Esipisu said the US top diplomat is coming to talk about peace in the region, “primarily on stabilising our neighbour South Sudan”.

http://www.nigeriatoday.ng/2016/08/john-kerry-arrives-in-africa-monday-for-talks-in-kenya-and-nigeria-on-terrorism/
Kerry first meets with Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta on regional issues including the upheaval in neighboring South Sudan and security in Somalia, where homegrown, al-Qaida-linked extremist group al-Shabab continues to launch deadly attacks in the capital.

Kerry on Tuesday and Wednesday then visits the cities of Sokoto and Abuja in Nigeria, Africa’s most populous nation of about 160 million people and one of its largest economies.
He will meet with President Muhammadu Buhari on the oil-rich country’s worsening economy and its efforts to fight corruption. Kerry also will meet with leaders from the country’s largely Muslim north, where extremist group Boko Haram was formed several years ago and continues to carry out attacks.
 
 
 
 
CONTINUE SITREPS, INTEL REPORTS, AFTER ACTION AS NECESSARY---CMD COC--

SOUTH SUDAN--Riek Machar's Lost Battalion--SPLA-IO DISAPPEARS INTO BUSH

TO HAYES
FROM SOLDIER, RECON OP
SUBJ   IO IN DISARRAY

(THE BUSH CP)-- Now that Riek has taken a few trustworthy comrades, his wife, a general and his varicose veins and marched out of country, the question remains, what happens to his army?

The latest sittreps indicate he had about 100 men with him on the exodus south, give or take another 100-200 KIA in recent counter-insurgency sorties by the SPLA, that leaves 1000 present and unaccounted for.

There were reports that his forces, the SPLA-IO, were about to invade the capital Juba from three different directions, sending even more locals into the already sardine packed UNMISS camps in Thongpiny and Jebel. That never happened.

There were other reports of ambushes along the Yei highway with gunfire and low-level artillery on the outskirts of Yei, but these were unverified. There were reports of construction workers being abducted, other ones indicating small scale attacks throughout the Equatorial state south of Juba, and similar incidents, all unverified.


The SPLA has come out and announced a training exercise, with live fire, south of Juba scheduled for Monday in order to better prepare for an actor with plans to capture an airport. That might be construed as the actor being UNMISS > 4000 currently scheduled to land and take over the country, if necessary.

So where does that leave the Machar's  Lost Battalion?


Initial reports indicate that the force arrived in Juba with only light weapons and considering the lightning attack on the Jebel compound in which the IO was made to make a hasty retreat into the bush, it is doubtful it has the capacity to mount any kind of direct assault on the capital.

However, what comes into view of the intel community is a splintered, factional force all with objectives of its own, with one clearly in view, to stay alive. The SPLA-IO is a cornered dog, scattered out in the bush, looking for any means to have any form of resupply, with obviously no lines of communication.

Machar himself is gone, command probably doesn't exist, and if it does, mutiny and desertion are what it sees today. But that makes the matter even more immediate as small bands, squads and platoons will chop off and raid local villages in order to secure supplies, ammo, medicine.., and women. Not unlike many defeated opposition forces, it will make the mountains and the bush its new Theater of Operations and with any kind of luck and discipline at all, become an even greater threat to the regime than it was as an organized militia in the role of Juba police duty.


FWD ALL UNIT OP, CP, LP, LZ---HAYES, RECON DETACH...















Saturday, August 20, 2016

SOUTH SUDAN--Ballad of Riek Machar--BY JC LANGELLE (C) 2016

Ballad of Riek Machar--by JC Langelle (c) 2016

You'd think that Riek didn't have no brains,
Hiking that far with varicose veins
With Blackwater thugs hot on his trail,
Machar knew that he couldn't fail.

With Riek was Angelina Teny
And a few soldiers, not that many.
Incommunicado they moved south
As rumors flew by word of mouth,

That he was finished,  dead in the bush,
But the SPLA just couldn't push
Fast enough to flush him out,
That's when they began to doubt.

Riek was ever going to be caught
He'd slipped through their blind spot.
And somewhere on the Congo border,
Riek issued an order

To his friend General Dual
Who immediately placed a call
When he got a dial tone
on his satellite phone.





He called his friend Ban Ki Moon
And it was late afternoon
When helicopters came out of the sky
And to South Sudan they said goodbye.

Nobody thought he could walk that far,
But they didn't know Riek Machar.
Nobody thought he had any brains,
But he walked that far on varicose veins.